Gold News Update:

Gold prices hit a more than seven-month high on Tuesday as investors shun riskier assets on worries over escalation in Sino-U.S. trade tensions after the U.S. Justice Department charged China's Huawei Technologies Co Ltd with fraud.

Besides the decline in global trade being a clear signal that the global economy is in trouble, the budget deficit in the US will rise and therefore the trade deficit will tend to rise as well. If not, an increase in the savings rate must occur, which I think we can rule out, or there has to be a contraction in bank credit. In other words, contracting international trade can be expected to propel the US and other domestic economies into a slump. This is bound to provoke the Fed into financing the US government deficit through yet more QE.